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Stadium Background

Folkestone vs Horsham FC Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League South Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cosgrave A.
65' Event
Hester-Cook C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Folkestone
30%
Draws
58%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folkestone lately — more wins on the board than Horsham FC.
  • 12% — that's where the model lands on Folkestone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folkestone here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Horsham FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Folkestone vs Horsham FC
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
Horsham FC vs Folkestone
2:3
Jan 25, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Horsham FC
3:0
Nov 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Folkestone
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Horsham FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosgrave A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hester-Cook C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 57 / 100
Horsham FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Horsham FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Horsham FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Folkestone went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Horsham FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

Horsham FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
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