Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sarpsborg 08 have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Follo have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2015, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Sarpsborg 08. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarpsborg 08 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Sarpsborg 08 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sarpsborg 08, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Follo Clean Sheet 15%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follo | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2015 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Follo
4:1
Jun 4, 2014 NM Cup
Sarpsborg 08 vs Follo
2:0
Oct 17, 2010 OBOS-ligaen
Follo vs Sarpsborg 08
2:2
Apr 25, 2010 OBOS-ligaen
Sarpsborg 08 vs Follo
0:0
Jun 5, 2008 NM Cup
Follo vs Sarpsborg 08
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follo 35 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follo Sarpsborg 08
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Follo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Follo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Follo VS Sarpsborg 08
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Follo
(Home) 12 Sept
Levanger
5 : 2 Follo
05 Sept
Follo
1 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1 Follo
26 Aug
Rana FK
3 : 3 Follo
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2 Follo
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05 Sept
Follo
1 : 0 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Aug
Follo
1 : 3 Rana FK
02 Aug
Follo
1 : 2 Trygg/Lade
28 Jun
Follo
0 : 2 Levanger
12 Jun
Follo
1 : 4 Kjelsas
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Sarpsborg 08
(Away) 13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
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13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
1/32-finals
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Madla IL -
Viking -
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Skeid -
Valerenga -
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Grorud -
Moss -
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
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Semi-finals
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