Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Follonica Gavorrano vs Pro Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sylla F.
68' Event
Lo Sicco F.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Liurni L.

AI Match Summary

Follonica Gavorrano in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Follonica Gavorrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Follonica Gavorrano
6%
Draws
4%
Pro Livorno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Follonica Gavorrano lately — more wins on the board than Pro Livorno.
  • Win probability leans Follonica Gavorrano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Follonica Gavorrano Pro Livorno
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Pro Livorno
4:0
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liurni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pro Livorno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 85 / 100
Pro Livorno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Follonica Gavorrano Pro Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Livorno has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 71% of their last 42 outings.

Follonica Gavorrano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Follonica Gavorrano

(Home)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3
Follonica Gavorrano
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1
Orvietana
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 9

Pro Livorno

(Away)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)