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Fonte Nova vs Amazonia IFC

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amazonia IFC in this Paraense B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amazonia IFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fonte Nova
35%
Draws
32%
Amazonia IFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amazonia IFC have won more games recently than Fonte Nova.
  • Fonte Nova are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Amazonia IFC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 10%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fonte Nova Amazonia IFC
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.09 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Fonte Nova vs Amazonia IFC
0:2
Oct 31, 2024 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Fonte Nova
1:1
Jun 12, 2024 Paraense A3
Fonte Nova vs Amazonia IFC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fonte Nova 34 / 100
Amazonia IFC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fonte Nova Amazonia IFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fonte Nova's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Amazonia IFC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Fonte Nova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fonte Nova VS Amazonia IFC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fonte Nova

(Home)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
Page 1 of 3

Amazonia IFC

(Away)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)