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Fontenay vs Aurillac

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CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Fontenay Logo

Fontenay

1 - 1
FT
Aurillac Logo

Aurillac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CFA - Group C 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fontenay
15%
Draws
42%
Aurillac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fontenay lately — more wins on the board than Aurillac.
  • Model gives Fontenay a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 12%
Aurillac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Aurillac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Fontenay vs Aurillac
1:1
Dec 12, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Fontenay
1:2
Feb 7, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Fontenay
2:1
Aug 23, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Fontenay vs Aurillac
1:0
Mar 1, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Aurillac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 40 / 100
Aurillac 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Aurillac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aurillac conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Fontenay's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Aurillac has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Aurillac
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
Page 1 of 6

Aurillac

(Away)
07 Feb
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 2
Aurillac
06 Jan
Saint-Pryve
3 : 1
Aurillac
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
17 Nov
Biars-Bretenoux
2 : 3
Aurillac
06 Dec
Cholet
3 : 0
Aurillac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)