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Fontenay vs Chatellerault

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CFA - Group C 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Fontenay and Chatellerault finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fontenay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Fontenay
17%
Draws
70%
Chatellerault
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chatellerault

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fontenay come out ahead of Chatellerault on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chatellerault's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fontenay have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 17%
Chatellerault Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Chatellerault
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Fontenay vs Chatellerault
3:1
Sep 27, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Chatellerault vs Fontenay
2:2
Mar 15, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Chatellerault
1:0
Sep 29, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Chatellerault vs Fontenay
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 15 / 100
Chatellerault 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Chatellerault

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatellerault let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Fontenay's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Fontenay has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Chatellerault
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
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Chatellerault

(Away)
19 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 1
Avoine
29 Oct
Chatellerault
4 : 2
SA Merignac
17 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 2
Challans
30 May
Chatellerault
3 : 2
Bergerac
23 May
Luzenac
1 : 3
Chatellerault
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luzenac34209559:26103
2Moulins34188856:4196
3Pau34179842:2594
4Fontenay34169937:3291
5Moulins-Yzeure341591060:4388
6Bordeaux II3414101041:3586
7Le Mans II3412121035:3382
8Romorantin3413101149:4982
9Lucon3412111139:3781
10Aurillac3410141048:4478
11Colomiers349141133:3275
12Montlucon349121343:5473
13Balma34991647:5470
14Albi341061827:4270
15Genets34981735:5369
16Chatellerault347131450:6668
17Stade Bordelais347111627:4766
18Bergerac344161432:4762
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)