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Fontenay vs Clermont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de France. Little to choose between these two on current form. Clermont have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Fontenay have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.12. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.99) point toward Fontenay. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Fontenay
20%
Draws
36%
Clermont
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Clermont haven't matched Fontenay's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fontenay's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Fontenay have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 20%
Clermont Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Clermont
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 15
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.12 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 42 / 100
Clermont 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Clermont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clermont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Fontenay's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fontenay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Clermont has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Clermont
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
Page 1 of 7

Clermont

(Away)
07 Nov
Clermont
1 : 0
Rodez
30 Oct
Nantes
1 : 1
Clermont
23 Oct
Clermont
0 : 2
Guingamp
16 Oct
Laval
3 : 3
Clermont
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pontivy -
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Rouen -
St. Renan -
Laval -
Lannion FC -
Guingamp -
Vitre -
Saint-Pierre Milizac -
Stade Pontivyen -
Plabennec -
Tinteniac -
Concarneau -
Perros-Louannec -
Vannes -
Metz ESAP -
Reipertswiller -
Amneville -
Sundhoffen -
Koetzingue -
Biesheim -
Besancon RC -
APM Metz -
Talange -
Baume Dames -
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen -
Oberlauterbach -
SR Saint-Die Kellermann -
Metz -
CA Boulay -
Sochaux -
Montigny -
Pontarlier -
Vesoul -
Fleury 91 -
US Vandoeuvre -
Epinal -
OM Cambrai Amerique -
Amiens SC -
IC Croix -
Thaon -
Violaines -
US Vermelles -
Chauny -
USLPV -
La Neuvillette -
Valenciennes -
Tourcoing -
Reims -
OCPAM -
Olympique Marcquois -
Bethune -
Nancy -
Neslois -
Furiani Agliani -
St Ouen -
Boulogne -
AS Verson -
RC Calais -
Sottevillais -
Fecamp -
Dunkerque -
Quevilly -
ASPTT Caen -
Chambly -
Le Touquet -
Avranches -
SML Tatinghem -
Racing Club de France -
US Montreuil-sur-Mer -
Loon Plage -
Saint-Omer -
AF Virois -
Choisy Au Bac -
Caen -
Val Yerres Crosne A.F. -
Cosne US -
Sedan -
Bourges 18 -
Paris 13 Atletico -
Red Star -
Tremblay FC -
Maisons Alfort -
Dijon -
Orleans -
Massay -
Montlouis -
Chatou -
Les Ulis -
Contres -
Linas-Montlhery -
USM Senlis -
Saint-Pryve -
ASPTT Dijon -
Selongey -
Chambery -
Grenoble -
Seyssinet -
Nimes -
Claira/Laurent -
AS Puissalicon -
Grau-du-Roi -
Riviera -
FC Balagne -
Montpellier -
Avenir Lozere -
Entente Crest-Aouste -
Atlas Paillade -
Cannes -
Le Puy-en-Velay -
Diables Noirs -
Rhone-Crussol Foot 07 -
Frejus Saint Raphael -
Marseille Endoume -
Toulon -
Versailles -
Rodez -
FC 2 Rives 82 -
Trelissac -
RC Chambery -
Niort -
Boulazac -
Genets -
Balma -
US Castanet -
Lourdes -
Pau -
SAG Cestas -
Bayonne -
Brive -
Angouleme CFC -
Rochefort -
Juventus Papus -
Stade Bordelais -
Mazeres -
Castelbourgeois -
Nantes -
Macaire -
FC Nueillaubiers -
Bressuire -
Challans -
St Sebastien -
La Baule -
Fontenay -
Clermont -
CPB Brequigny -
Montlucon -
Saint-Philbert -
La Roche Vendee -
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant -
Horizon Patho -
Le Poire Sur Vie -
Vertou -
ES Buxerolles -
Sable -
Rumilly Vallieres -
St Etienne -
Paray -
Villefranche -
Riom -
Limonest -
FC Chalon -
Hauts Lyonnais -
Lyon - La Duchere -
Feurs -
Firminy -
Annecy -
Veauche -
Saint Paul en Jarez -
FC Cournon d'Auvergne -
Chassieu Decines -
FC Pont De Cheruy -
Bourg Peronnas -
Tamponnaise -
Saint-Pauloise FC -
Franciscain 4
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Tefana -
Thionville -
Baie Mahault 0
Siroco les Abymes 1
Olympique de Cayenne 1
Etoile Matoury 3
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Final
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