Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foolad Novin Ahvaz vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foolad Novin Ahvaz host Naft Masjed-Soleyman in the Azadegan League. Naft Masjed-Soleyman are expected to control this from the start. Foolad Novin Ahvaz have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Naft Masjed-Soleyman's 1.19 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Foolad Novin Ahvaz have won 0 to Naft Masjed-Soleyman's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2011, ending 3:5. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Naft Masjed-Soleyman to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
30%
Draws
42%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Foolad Novin Ahvaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Foolad Novin Ahvaz Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Novin Ahvaz Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2011 Azadegan League
Foolad Novin Ahvaz vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
3:5
Jan 9, 2011 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad Novin Ahvaz 32 / 100
Naft Masjed-Soleyman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Novin Ahvaz Naft Masjed-Soleyman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Masjed-Soleyman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad Novin Ahvaz found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Naft Masjed-Soleyman has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Foolad Novin Ahvaz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Foolad Novin Ahvaz VS Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad Novin Ahvaz

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Gachsaran
1 : 1
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0 : 1
Niroye Zamini
08 May
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
1 : 0
Meshki Pooshan
Page 1 of 6

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)