Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foolad vs Esteghlal TEH

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Razzaghinia A.
29'
Aghasi A.
31'
Ahmadzadeh F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Foolad
35%
Draws
34%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH have won more games recently than Foolad.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Foolad Clean Sheet 27%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Foolad
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Foolad
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Esteghlal TEH
0:2
May 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Foolad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 33 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Foolad scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Esteghlal TEH has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Esteghlal TEH
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)