Sport Picks
Foolad vs Fajr Sepasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Arena, Ahvaz 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Nasiri M. In: Bahraminejad M.
Out: Nasiri M.
20'
20'
Norouzi S.
46'
46'
Sub
Mehri S. In: Shahabi H.
Out: Mehri S.
AI Match Summary
Foolad in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foolad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foolad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Fajr Sepasi haven't matched Foolad's recent run of results.
- Foolad are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Foolad Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 23%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Foolad | Fajr Sepasi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Foolad
1:2
Mar 17, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Foolad
1:1
Sep 30, 2019 Hazfi Cup
Fajr Sepasi vs Foolad
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Foolad Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahrooghi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Fajr Sepasi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Foolad 50 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Foolad Fajr Sepasi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Foolad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Foolad scored in 60% of their last 25 games.
Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Foolad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Foolad VS Fajr Sepasi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Foolad
(Home) 07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0 Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3 Foolad
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 5
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
21 Feb
Foolad
2 : 1 Zob Ahan
08 Feb
Foolad
3 : 1 Gol Gohar
Page 1 of 3
Fajr Sepasi
(Away) 07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
14 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Persepolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Sepahan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Chadormalu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Zob Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
