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Foolad vs Mes Shahr Babak Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foolad host Mes Shahr Babak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Foolad have averaged 1.12 scored and 0.62 conceded recently, against Mes Shahr Babak's 1.19 scored and 0.71 conceded. Past meetings favor Foolad slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2018, ending 7:0. xG projections (0.79 - 0.66) back Foolad to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Foolad
35%
Draws
22%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mes Shahr Babak come out ahead of Foolad on wins alone.
  • Model gives Foolad a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Foolad Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 12 12
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2018 Hazfi Cup
Foolad vs Mes Shahr Babak
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 49 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Mes Shahr Babak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Foolad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Foolad found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Mes Shahr Babak has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0
Foolad
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
24 Aug
Sanat Naft
0 : 3
Foolad
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
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Mes Shahr Babak

(Away)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)