Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foolad vs Paykan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Azarpad M.
64' Event
Mahrooghi E.
66'
Mahrooghi E.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Foolad and Paykan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Foolad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Foolad
35%
Draws
10%
Paykan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foolad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Paykan haven't matched Foolad's recent run of results.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Foolad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Foolad Clean Sheet 68%
Paykan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foolad Paykan
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.04 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Foolad
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Paykan
1:0
Feb 13, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Paykan vs Foolad
3:2
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Foolad vs Paykan
2:2
Dec 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Foolad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foolad Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahrooghi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paykan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foolad 68 / 100
Paykan 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foolad Paykan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foolad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foolad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Paykan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Foolad found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Foolad VS Paykan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Foolad

(Home)
15 Aug
Zob Ahan
0 : 0
Foolad
27 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 2
Foolad
21 Feb
Foolad
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
08 Feb
Foolad
3 : 1
Gol Gohar
02 Feb
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 2
Foolad
Page 1 of 6

Paykan

(Away)
14 Aug
Tractor
2 : 0
Paykan
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0
Sepahan
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
08 Feb
Chadormalu
2 : 0
Paykan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)