Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between Forca Jovem Aquidaba and Alvorada finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forca Jovem Aquidaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
30%
Draws
35%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alvorada come out ahead of Forca Jovem Aquidaba on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Alvorada taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 20%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forca Jovem Aquidaba Alvorada
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2019 Tocantinense
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Alvorada
5:1
Apr 14, 2019 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forca Jovem Aquidaba 16 / 100
Alvorada 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Alvorada has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forca Jovem Aquidaba VS Alvorada
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Home)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)