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Stadium Background

Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Caninde

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Forca Jovem Aquidaba and Caninde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forca Jovem Aquidaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
15%
Draws
51%
Caninde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caninde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Caninde's 1.64 goals per match outpaces what Forca Jovem Aquidaba have produced (1.5).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 17%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forca Jovem Aquidaba Caninde
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Sergipano 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Caninde
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
Caninde vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forca Jovem Aquidaba 31 / 100
Caninde 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Caninde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Caninde let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forca Jovem Aquidaba VS Caninde
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 3.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
17% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Home)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

Caninde

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)