Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forca Jovem Aquidaba in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
39%
Draws
30%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Sparta have won more games recently than Forca Jovem Aquidaba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • SD Sparta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forca Jovem Aquidaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 19%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forca Jovem Aquidaba SD Sparta
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:2
May 22, 2019 Tocantinense
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs SD Sparta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forca Jovem Aquidaba 32 / 100
SD Sparta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forca Jovem Aquidaba SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: SD Sparta conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Forca Jovem Aquidaba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forca Jovem Aquidaba VS SD Sparta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Home)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
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SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba1
Interporto3
Palmas4
Final
Tocantinopolis1
Palmas4