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Forde vs Fjora

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sagevik M.
17' Event
Savland V.
45' Event
Laegreid K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 4 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Forde
15%
Draws
73%
Fjora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fjora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Fjora haven't matched Forde's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fjora a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Forde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Forde Clean Sheet 20%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forde Fjora
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Fjora
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Forde
0:2
Oct 14, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Fjora
3:1
Jul 2, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Forde
2:2
May 12, 2010 NM Cup
Fjora vs Forde
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagevik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savland V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Fjora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forde 28 / 100
Fjora 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forde Fjora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fjora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Forde found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Fjora lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forde VS Fjora
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 8
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Forde

(Home)
26 Sept
Asane 2
2 : 2
Forde
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
12 Sept
V. Haugesund
9 : 0
Forde
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
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Fjora

(Away)
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
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