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Forest Green vs Cardiff

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Davies I.
15' Event
Willock C.
22' Event
Willock C.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Forest Green
20%
Draws
20%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forest Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Forest Green haven't matched Cardiff's recent run of results.
  • Forest Green are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green Cardiff
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Forest Green vs Cardiff
1:5
Jul 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Forest Green vs Cardiff
1:2
Jul 13, 2016 Club Friendly
Forest Green vs Cardiff
3:1
Jul 15, 2015 Club Friendly
Forest Green vs Cardiff
1:1
Jul 24, 2013 Club Friendly
Forest Green vs Cardiff
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Willock C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Davies I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green 34 / 100
Cardiff 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Cardiff's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green VS Cardiff
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green

(Home)
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Forest Green
22 Aug
Forest Green
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Forest Green
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Cardiff

(Away)
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2
Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 2
Norwich
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