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Forest Green vs Gateshead

England England

National League The New Lawn, Nailsworth
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Forest Green and Gateshead finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forest Green.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Forest Green
15%
Draws
12%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forest Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forest Green come out ahead of Gateshead on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green Gateshead
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.74 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Forest Green
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Gateshead
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Gateshead
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Forest Green
0:2
Feb 18, 2017 National League
Gateshead vs Forest Green
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green 31 / 100
Gateshead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Gateshead registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green VS Gateshead
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green

(Home)
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Forest Green
22 Aug
Forest Green
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Forest Green
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Gateshead

(Away)
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1
Solihull Moors
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1
Gateshead
28 Aug
Gateshead
0 : 1
Sutton
22 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 6 5 1 0 16:8 16
2 Kidderminster 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
3 Harrogate 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
4 Southend 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
5 Hornchurch 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
6 Sutton 6 4 0 2 7:6 12
7 AFC Fylde 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
8 Yeovil 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
9 Aldershot 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
10 Eastleigh 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
11 Altrincham 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
12 Hartlepool 7 3 0 4 5:6 9
13 Forest Green 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
14 Carlisle 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
15 Boston United 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
16 Worthing FC 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
17 Halifax 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
18 Barrow 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
19 Tamworth 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
20 Wealdstone 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
21 Scunthorpe 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
22 Gateshead 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
23 Woking 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
24 Solihull Moors 6 0 1 5 6:17 1
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)