Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forest Green vs Leicester U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 The New Lawn, Nailsworth
Forest Green Logo

Forest Green

Tue, Oct 21, 2025
2 - 3
06:00 PM
Leicester U21 Logo

Leicester U21

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Inniss R. In: Merrett W.
Out: Inniss R.
1'
Sub
Buyabu J. In: Bamba Y.
Out: Buyabu J.
9' Event
Evans J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leicester U21 in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Forest Green
20%
Draws
10%
Leicester U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forest Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Forest Green have won more games recently than Leicester U21.
  • Model gives Forest Green a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Forest Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leicester U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 13%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green Leicester U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Forest Green vs Leicester U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Haughton N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Leicester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onanaye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green 84 / 100
Leicester U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green Leicester U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leicester U21 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Forest Green stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green VS Leicester U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green

(Home)
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Leicester U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)