Sport Picks
Forest Green vs Morecambe
England
National League 2025/2026 The New Lawn, Nailsworth 
Match Events
13'
13'
Buyabu J.
Assist: Clarke J.
23'
23'
McAllister K.
(Penalty)
54'
54'
Sub
Moore-Taylor J. In: Kircough G.
Out: Moore-Taylor J.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Forest Green and Morecambe finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forest Green.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morecambe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Forest Green carry the better recent record into this one.
- Morecambe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 15%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forest Green | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League
Forest Green vs Morecambe
5:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League
Morecambe vs Forest Green
1:3
Apr 20, 2024 League Two
Morecambe vs Forest Green
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 League Two
Forest Green vs Morecambe
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 League One
Morecambe vs Forest Green
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forest Green Compare
Top Goalscorer Rees R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Buyabu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Morecambe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forest Green 23 / 100
Morecambe 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forest Green Morecambe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morecambe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Forest Green's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Morecambe has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Forest Green has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Forest Green VS Morecambe
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Forest Green
(Home) 19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3 Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2 Altrincham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3 Boston United
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2 Altrincham
22 Aug
Forest Green
0 : 3 Boreham Wood
08 Aug
Forest Green
3 : 2 Halifax
Page 1 of 3
Morecambe
(Away) 19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1 Morecambe
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1 Morecambe
22 Aug
Radcliffe
2 : 1 Morecambe
15 Aug
Harborough
1 : 0 Morecambe
18 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 3 Morecambe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
