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Forest Green vs Nottingham U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 The New Lawn, Nailsworth
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Knowles T. In: Pemberton T.
Out: Knowles T.
1'
Sub
Babalola T. In: Cardwell H.
Out: Babalola T.
34'
Moore-Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U21 in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Forest Green
15%
Draws
48%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Forest Green.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Forest Green taking it.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 12%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green Nottingham U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Forest Green vs Nottingham U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Green Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green 65 / 100
Nottingham U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Nottingham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Forest Green has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green VS Nottingham U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green

(Home)
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)