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Forest Green W vs Gillingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2015/2016 The New Lawn, Nailsworth
Sun, Jan 17, 2016
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Gillingham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Forest Green W
15%
Draws
76%
Gillingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gillingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gillingham W come out ahead of Forest Green W on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham W taking it.
  • Gillingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gillingham W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forest Green W Clean Sheet 10%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green W Gillingham W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 2 0
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.86
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 3.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Forest Green W vs Gillingham W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green W 10 / 100
Gillingham W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green W Gillingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gillingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Forest Green W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Forest Green W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green W VS Gillingham W
0.6 Goals Scored 1.88
4.2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green W

(Home)
26 Oct
Dartford W
5 : 1
Forest Green W
24 Apr
Charlton W
9 : 1
Forest Green W
17 Apr
Portsmouth W
3 : 0
Forest Green W
10 Apr
Plymouth W
1 : 1
Forest Green W
27 Mar
Forest Green W
0 : 3
Portsmouth W
Page 1 of 6

Gillingham W

(Away)
08 Jan
AFC Wimbledon W
1 : 0
Gillingham W
27 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet W
1 : 2
Gillingham W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
19 Dec
Gillingham W
0 : 1
Charlton W
28 Nov
Gillingham W
:
Actonians W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Notts County W -
TBD -
Durham W 3
Charlton W 1
Bristol City W 0
Yeovil W 1
TBD -
Sunderland W -
Reading W -
TBD -
Loughborough Foxes W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Doncaster W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Tottenham W 2
Aston Villa W 3
Everton W 5
Nottingham W 0
Liverpool W -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Brighton W 5
Blackburn W 2
Sheffield Wed W 1
Sporting Club Albion W 3
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 1
Arsenal W 2
Notts County W 3
Durham W 1
Yeovil W 0
Sunderland W 2
Reading W 2
London City Lionesses W 0
Doncaster W 1
Chelsea W 4
Aston Villa W 1
Everton W 0
Liverpool W 0
Manchester City W 2
Brighton W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 4
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 3
Notts County W 2
Sunderland W 3
Reading W 0
Chelsea W 6
Aston Villa W 0
Manchester City W 2
Sporting Club Albion W 0
Semi-finals
Arsenal W 7
Sunderland W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 1
Final
Arsenal W 1
Chelsea W 0