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Forest Rangers vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forest Rangers play Nchanga Rangers in the Super League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Forest Rangers averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Nchanga Rangers averaged 0.76 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Forest Rangers won 1, Nchanga Rangers won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 9, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Forest Rangers and 1.11 for Nchanga Rangers. This points to a Nchanga Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Forest Rangers
35%
Draws
36%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Forest Rangers picked up more points recently compared to Nchanga Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 21%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Rangers Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 13
Draws 14 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.87 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Forest Rangers
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Forest Rangers
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nchanga Rangers
1:0
Sep 15, 2018 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Rangers 30 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Rangers Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nchanga Rangers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +35.2%
5.88
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forest Rangers attacking → ← attacking Nchanga Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Rangers scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 50% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Forest Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nchanga Rangers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515