Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers

Canada Canada

Championship Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

4 - 0
FT
HFX Wanderers Logo

HFX Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Wright B.
Penalty Missed
24'
Nimick D.
44' Event
Borges T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Forge FC in this Championship tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Forge FC
28%
Draws
22%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forge FC lately — more wins on the board than HFX Wanderers.
  • Win probability leans Forge FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Forge FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Forge FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forge FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 20%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
4:0
May 2, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Forge FC
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs HFX Wanderers
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Forge FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Batisse A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

HFX Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 49 / 100
HFX Wanderers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Forge FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

HFX Wanderers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS HFX Wanderers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inter Toronto
1 : 3
Forge FC
12 Jul
Forge FC
2 : 1
CS Saint-Laurent
08 Jul
CS Saint-Laurent
1 : 1
Forge FC
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2
Vancouver FC
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
24 Jul
HFX Wanderers
2 : 3
Supra du Quebec
18 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
HFX Wanderers
05 Jul
Pacific FC
1 : 2
HFX Wanderers
01 Jul
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
26 Jun
HFX Wanderers
5 : 2
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-