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Forge FC vs Edmonton Prediction & H2H Stats

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pacius W.
Assist: Borges T.
33'
Camara M.
38' Event
Pacius W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2022 game between Forge FC and Edmonton finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forge FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Forge FC
35%
Draws
20%
Edmonton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forge FC come out ahead of Edmonton on wins alone.
  • Model gives Forge FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 20%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Edmonton
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 24 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
1:1
Jul 19, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Edmonton
5:1
Jun 1, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
3:4
Apr 23, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Edmonton
3:0
Nov 13, 2021 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacius W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sissoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Coore K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 76 / 100
Edmonton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Edmonton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (40 games).

Edmonton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Forge FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 8

Edmonton

(Away)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2022 (Play Offs)