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Forge FC vs Edmonton

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pacius W.
Assist: Borges T.
33'
Camara M.
38' Event
Pacius W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2022 game between Forge FC and Edmonton finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forge FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Forge FC
17%
Draws
13%
Edmonton
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forge FC come out ahead of Edmonton on wins alone.
  • Model gives Forge FC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 20%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Edmonton
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
1:1
Jul 19, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Edmonton
5:1
Jun 1, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
3:4
Apr 23, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Edmonton
3:0
Nov 13, 2021 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Forge FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacius W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sissoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Coore K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 67 / 100
Edmonton 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Edmonton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (38 games).

Edmonton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Forge FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
12 Jul
Forge FC
2 : 1
CS Saint-Laurent
08 Jul
CS Saint-Laurent
1 : 1
Forge FC
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
01 Jul
Forge FC
3 : 2
Vancouver FC
10 Jun
Forge FC
1 : 0
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 8

Edmonton

(Away)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Ottawa281310536:2949
2Forge FC28145947:2547
3Cavalry28145939:3347
4Pacific FC28137836:3346
5Valour281071136:3437
6Inter Toronto28971231:3734
7HFX Wanderers28851524:3829
8Edmonton28481631:5120
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2022 (Play Offs)