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Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Championship Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

1 - 0
FT
Supra du Quebec Logo

Supra du Quebec

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Bekker K. In: Paton B.
Out: Bekker K.
26' Event
Paton B.
Assist: Bourgeois M.
28'
Conde I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Forge FC
30%
Draws
35%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Forge FC have won more games recently than Supra du Quebec.
  • Forge FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Forge FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Forge FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 20%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Championship
Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:1
Aug 28, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec
3:2
Jul 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Paton B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Supra du Quebec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 85 / 100
Supra du Quebec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Supra du Quebec has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Forge FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Supra du Quebec
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -