Sport Picks

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Forjaes vs Merelinense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merelinense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Forjaes
20%
Draws
61%
Merelinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Merelinense have won more games recently than Forjaes.
  • Win probability leans Merelinense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 20%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forjaes Merelinense
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Forjaes
1:4
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Merelinense
1:2
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Forjaes
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Merelinense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forjaes 12 / 100
Merelinense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forjaes Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Forjaes scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Merelinense conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Forjaes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merelinense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forjaes

(Home)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
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Merelinense

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
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