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Forli FC vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Macri D.
12'
Giovannini R.
25'
Onofri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Forli FC and Vis Pesaro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Forli FC
30%
Draws
23%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forli FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Forli FC's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Vis Pesaro have produced (1.07).
  • Forli FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Forli FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 18%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Forli FC
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Vis Pesaro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Macri D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coveri V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vis Pesaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 76 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forli FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Pesaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Forli FC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Forli FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS Vis Pesaro
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forli FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
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Vis Pesaro

(Away)
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Sassari Torres 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
5 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
6 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
7 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
8 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)