Sport Picks
Formentera vs CD Montuiri
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between Formentera and CD Montuiri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Formentera taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Formentera have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Formentera | CD Montuiri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs CD Montuiri
3:0
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Formentera
3:4
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs CD Montuiri
2:0
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Formentera
0:2
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs CD Montuiri
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Formentera 85 / 100
CD Montuiri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Formentera CD Montuiri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Formentera scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: CD Montuiri conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.
Formentera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Formentera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Formentera
(Home) 05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
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03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
04 Apr
Formentera
2 : 0 Felanitx
22 Mar
Formentera
2 : 1 Portmany
08 Mar
Formentera
1 : 1 Collerense
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CD Montuiri
(Away) 15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1 CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0 CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0 CD Montuiri
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15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1 CD Montuiri
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0 CD Montuiri
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0 CD Montuiri
09 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0 : 2 CD Montuiri
19 Mar
UD Alaro
0 : 1 CD Montuiri
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
