Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Formentera vs Felanitx

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sanz D.
28' Event
Filgueira Pazos J.

AI Match Summary

Formentera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Formentera
6%
Draws
4%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formentera lately — more wins on the board than Felanitx.
  • Win probability leans Formentera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Formentera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Felanitx
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Formentera
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Formentera
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
1:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filgueira Pazos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Formentera found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Formentera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Felanitx registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Felanitx
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)