Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Formentera vs Felanitx

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sanz D.
28' Event
Filgueira Pazos J.

AI Match Summary

Formentera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Formentera
30%
Draws
18%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Formentera lately — more wins on the board than Felanitx.
  • Win probability leans Formentera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Formentera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Felanitx
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Formentera
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Formentera
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
1:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Felanitx
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filgueira Pazos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Felanitx Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Formentera remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Formentera scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Felanitx registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Felanitx
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 7

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)