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Formentera vs Porreres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Exposito F.
60' Event
Imrani Y.
75' Event
Gorriz A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Formentera and Porreres finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Formentera
20%
Draws
34%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Formentera come out ahead of Porreres on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Formentera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
Porreres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Porreres
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Porreres
3:1
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Porreres
0:2
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Formentera
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Porreres
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Formentera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Imrani Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorriz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 40 / 100
Porreres 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porreres conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Formentera found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Formentera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Porreres
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 7

Porreres

(Away)
10 Oct
Constancia
1 : 0
Porreres
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
2 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
3 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
4 Platges de Calvia 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
5 PE Sant Jordi 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
6 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
7 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
8 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
9 Alcudia 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
10 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
11 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
12 Binissalem 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
13 Mercadal 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
14 Andratx 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
15 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
16 Arenal 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
17 Inter Ibiza 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
18 Sineu 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)