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Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010 game between Formiga EC and Guarani-MG finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Formiga EC
6%
Draws
90%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani-MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarani-MG's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formiga EC Guarani-MG
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2017 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
0:3
Mar 1, 2017 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
3:0
May 1, 2010 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
1:1
Apr 24, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
1:0
Mar 27, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formiga EC 10 / 100
Guarani-MG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formiga EC Guarani-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarani-MG conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Formiga EC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Guarani-MG has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarani-MG
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%