Sport Picks
Fornos de Algodres vs Lusitano FCV
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Fornos de Algodres play Lusitano FCV in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018. Lusitano FCV are favorites here. Recently, Fornos de Algodres averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. Lusitano FCV averaged 1 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Fornos de Algodres won 0, Lusitano FCV won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Fornos de Algodres and 2.48 for Lusitano FCV. This points to a Lusitano FCV double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fornos de Algodres picked up more points recently compared to Lusitano FCV.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.48 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fornos de Algodres | Lusitano FCV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 25 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.33 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fornos de Algodres scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Lusitano FCV let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Fornos de Algodres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Lusitano FCV lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leiria | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Lusitano FCV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 47:19 | 65 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 48:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Sertanense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:22 | 53 |
| 5 | Agueda | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 39:32 | 49 |
| 6 | Gafanha | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 7 | Anadia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 39:28 | 46 |
| 8 | Maritimo B | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | 42 |
| 10 | Oleiros | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:41 | 41 |
| 12 | Mortagua FC | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 23:40 | 36 |
| 13 | Ferreira de Aves | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Aguias do Moradal | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 29:54 | 21 |
| 15 | GD Sourense | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 28:57 | 17 |
| 16 | Fornos de Algodres | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15:83 | 4 |