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Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sargent R.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Sargent R.
Assist: Barbour S.

AI Match Summary

Fraserburgh in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fraserburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Forres Mechanics
35%
Draws
19%
Fraserburgh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forres Mechanics

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fraserburgh lately — more wins on the board than Forres Mechanics.
  • Forres Mechanics are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Forres Mechanics Clean Sheet 16%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forres Mechanics Fraserburgh
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh
4:1
Feb 1, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Forres Mechanics
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forres Mechanics Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargent R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forres Mechanics 84 / 100
Fraserburgh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forres Mechanics Fraserburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forres Mechanics Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forres Mechanics scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Forres Mechanics has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fraserburgh let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forres Mechanics VS Fraserburgh
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forres Mechanics

(Home)
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
05 Sept
Wick Academy
1 : 0
Forres Mechanics
29 Aug
Forres Mechanics
1 : 2
Formartine Utd
22 Aug
Deveronvale
1 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Aug
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
Page 1 of 6

Fraserburgh

(Away)
16 Sept
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Formartine Utd
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Deveronvale
3 : 1
Fraserburgh
29 Aug
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Clachnacuddin
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Inverurie Loco Works 11 6 4 1 20:12 22
3 Buckie Thistle 10 6 1 3 29:13 19
4 Banks O' Dee 11 5 4 2 28:21 19
5 Formartine Utd 11 5 4 2 20:16 19
6 Fraserburgh 10 5 3 2 21:8 18
7 Strathspey Thistle 11 5 2 4 21:13 17
8 Clachnacuddin 10 4 4 2 22:9 16
9 Forres Mechanics 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
10 Lossiemouth 10 4 2 4 13:19 14
11 Turriff United 10 4 1 5 11:13 13
12 Keith 10 3 3 4 16:21 12
13 Deveronvale 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
14 Huntly 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Nairn County 11 2 5 4 13:18 11
16 Invergordon 10 2 1 7 12:27 7
17 Wick Academy 10 1 0 9 5:28 3
18 Rothes 9 1 0 8 7:40 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)