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Fort Wayne vs Dayton

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Fort Wayne and Dayton finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fort Wayne
15%
Draws
34%
Dayton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fort Wayne come out ahead of Dayton on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fort Wayne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fort Wayne have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 18%
Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Dayton
Matches Played 48 33
Wins 26 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.69 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 USL League Two
Dayton vs Fort Wayne
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League Two
Fort Wayne vs Dayton
4:2
May 17, 2025 USL League Two
Dayton vs Fort Wayne
0:2
Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Dayton vs Fort Wayne
0:1
Jun 28, 2024 USL League Two
Fort Wayne vs Dayton
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 58 / 100
Dayton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Dayton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 48 recent games.

Dayton has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Dayton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Fort Wayne
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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Dayton

(Away)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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