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Fort Wayne vs Detroit City Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Cup Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Diouf A.
46'
Sub
Healy T. In: Awoudor C.
Out: Healy T.
46'
Sub
Smith J. In: Musa J.
Out: Smith J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Fort Wayne
35%
Draws
41%
Detroit City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Detroit City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Detroit City have won more games recently than Fort Wayne.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Detroit City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Detroit City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 18%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Detroit City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Fort Wayne vs Detroit City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricol L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Detroit City Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mentzingen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 32 / 100
Detroit City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Detroit City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Detroit City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fort Wayne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Detroit City has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Detroit City
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Detroit City

(Away)
03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0
Birmingham Legion
30 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3
Detroit City
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0
Colorado Springs
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0
Detroit City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spokane Velocity 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sacramento Republic 4 3 0 1 7:3 8
3 Athletic Club Boise 4 3 0 1 9:6 8
4 Oakland Roots 4 1 0 3 4:6 4
5 Las Vegas Lights 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
6 Monterey Bay 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colorado Springs 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 New Mexico 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 El Paso Locomotive 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 AV Alta FC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Phoenix Rising 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
6 Orange County SC 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio FC 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Birmingham Legion 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 One Knoxville 4 3 0 1 6:4 6
4 FC Tulsa 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
5 Corpus Christi FC 4 1 0 3 2:6 4
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 4 0 0 4 2:7 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Detroit City 4 2 0 2 4:4 8
3 Indy Eleven 4 3 0 1 7:4 7
4 Lexington 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Union Omaha 4 2 0 2 10:12 6
6 Forward Madison 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Fort Wayne 4 0 0 4 6:12 1
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hartford Athletic 4 3 0 1 8:3 10
2 Rhode Island 4 3 0 1 7:3 7
3 Brooklyn FC 4 2 0 2 9:5 7
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
5 New York Cosmos 4 1 0 3 5:11 4
6 Westchester SC 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 4 4 0 0 8:4 10
2 Charleston 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 2 0 2 6:3 8
4 Greenville Triumph 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Loudoun United 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
6 Richmond Kickers 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Miami FC 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Sporting Jax 4 1 0 3 3:5 4
4 Sarasota Paradise 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
5 FC Naples 4 1 0 3 3:9 2
6 South Georgia Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams