Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fort Wayne vs Detroit City

USA USA

USL Cup Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne play Detroit City in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fort Wayne averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Detroit City averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Fort Wayne won 2, Detroit City won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Fort Wayne and 1.38 for Detroit City. This points to a Fort Wayne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fort Wayne
24%
Draws
35%
Detroit City
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fort Wayne picked up more points recently compared to Detroit City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 17%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Detroit City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 USL Cup
Fort Wayne vs Detroit City
2-0
Apr 12, 2025 USL Cup
Detroit City vs Fort Wayne
0-0
Mar 12, 2025 USL Cup
Fort Wayne vs Detroit City
2-0
Feb 12, 2025 USL Cup
Detroit City vs Fort Wayne
1-0
Jan 12, 2025 USL Cup
Fort Wayne vs Detroit City
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 40 / 100
Detroit City 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Detroit City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fort Wayne or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fort Wayne attacking → ← attacking Detroit City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Detroit City let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Detroit City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 44
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
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1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
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1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72