Sport Picks

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Fort Wayne vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Likulia N.
Penalty Missed
11' Event
Cisneros J.
Assist: O'Connor K.
17' Event
Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fort Wayne
30%
Draws
29%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fort Wayne lately — more wins on the board than FC Naples.
  • Fort Wayne are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 15%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne FC Naples
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs FC Naples
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Fort Wayne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becher R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisneros J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 66 / 100
FC Naples 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne FC Naples

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

FC Naples let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fort Wayne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS FC Naples
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
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FC Naples

(Away)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0
Union Omaha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 28 17 6 5 64:40 57
3 Forward Madison 28 15 6 7 50:27 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 28 13 7 8 44:39 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 27 13 4 10 47:39 43
7 Spokane Velocity 25 13 4 8 37:33 43
8 Fort Wayne 27 10 8 9 42:36 38
9 Corpus Christi FC 27 9 9 9 32:37 36
10 Sarasota Paradise 27 9 6 12 37:40 33
11 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
12 FC Naples 27 9 4 14 30:43 31
13 Portland Hearts of Pine 28 7 9 12 40:50 30
14 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
15 Greenville Triumph 27 6 5 16 30:51 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)