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Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Nour M.
16' Event
Becher R.
Assist: Rempel M.
19'
Meek L.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Fort Wayne and Greenville Triumph finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Fort Wayne
20%
Draws
36%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fort Wayne come out ahead of Greenville Triumph on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 16%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricol L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Greenville Triumph Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 36 / 100
Greenville Triumph 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Greenville Triumph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greenville Triumph Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greenville Triumph has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Fort Wayne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Greenville Triumph
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Fort Wayne
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0
Fort Wayne
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6

Greenville Triumph

(Away)
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
Greenville Triumph
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1
One Knoxville
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Greenville Triumph
08 Aug
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 23 15 4 4 55:31 49
2 Union Omaha 24 14 4 6 41:27 46
3 Forward Madison 23 13 5 5 44:24 44
4 One Knoxville 23 11 7 5 38:26 40
5 Spokane Velocity 21 12 2 7 32:27 38
6 Athletic Club Boise 23 11 5 7 36:33 38
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 22 11 2 9 41:35 35
8 Fort Wayne 22 9 6 7 32:25 33
9 AV Alta FC 25 8 8 9 33:34 32
10 Corpus Christi FC 23 7 9 7 28:32 30
11 FC Naples 23 8 2 13 27:39 26
12 Sarasota Paradise 23 7 4 12 25:37 25
13 Westchester SC 23 6 5 12 34:35 23
14 Greenville Triumph 22 6 5 11 27:35 23
15 Portland Hearts of Pine 24 5 8 11 35:44 23
16 New York Cosmos 23 5 4 14 26:46 19
17 Richmond Kickers 23 5 4 14 21:45 19
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)