Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Greenville Triumph have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Fort Wayne have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Greenville Triumph slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.00) point toward Fort Wayne. Fort Wayne in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fort Wayne
22%
Draws
18%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fort Wayne come out ahead of Greenville Triumph on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fort Wayne's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Fort Wayne
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Fort Wayne
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 58 / 100
Greenville Triumph 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Greenville Triumph has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Greenville Triumph
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310