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Fort Wayne vs Midwest United

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Fri, Jul 18, 2025
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Shannon C.
44' Event
Sylejmani E.
51' Event
Dias T.

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne in this USL League Two 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fort Wayne
20%
Draws
47%
Midwest United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midwest United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Midwest United lately — more wins on the board than Fort Wayne.
  • Model gives Midwest United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Midwest United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fort Wayne, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 12%
Midwest United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Midwest United
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.65 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 USL League Two
Fort Wayne vs Midwest United
3:2
Jul 19, 2024 USL League Two
Fort Wayne vs Midwest United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Midwest United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shannon C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylejmani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 27 / 100
Midwest United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Midwest United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midwest United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Midwest United conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Midwest United
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 7

Midwest United

(Away)
10 Jul
Oakland County
2 : 5
Midwest United
30 Jun
Midwest United
1 : 4
Flint City
24 Jun
Kalamazoo FC
2 : 2
Midwest United
18 Jun
Lansing City
1 : 5
Midwest United
13 Jun
Ann Arbor
0 : 2
Midwest United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1