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Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Musa J.
39' Event
Becher R.
41'
Uderitz B.

AI Match Summary

One Knoxville in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fort Wayne
35%
Draws
35%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • One Knoxville have won more games recently than Fort Wayne.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 16%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne One Knoxville
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs One Knoxville
2:3
Jul 15, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becher R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 30 / 100
One Knoxville 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: One Knoxville conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Fort Wayne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS One Knoxville
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

One Knoxville

(Away)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)