Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fort Wayne vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Terzaghi E.
39'
Wright O.
44'
Smith J.

AI Match Summary

Fort Wayne in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fort Wayne
39%
Draws
31%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fort Wayne lately — more wins on the board than Portland Hearts of Pine.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricol L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Healy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 30 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Portland Hearts of Pine conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fort Wayne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Forward Madison1482426:1426
5AV Alta FC1767423:1925
6Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310