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Fort Wayne vs Spokane Velocity Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
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Match Events

14' Event
Healy T.
16'
Smith J.
38'
Gafar K.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Fort Wayne and Spokane Velocity finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Fort Wayne
35%
Draws
40%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spokane Velocity come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 68%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Fort Wayne
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Spokane Velocity
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garay J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Spokane Velocity Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 41 / 100
Spokane Velocity 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Spokane Velocity has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Fort Wayne has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Spokane Velocity
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 28 17 6 5 64:40 57
3 Forward Madison 28 15 6 7 50:27 51
4 One Knoxville 28 13 9 6 44:31 48
5 Spokane Velocity 26 14 4 8 38:33 46
6 Athletic Club Boise 28 13 7 8 44:39 46
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 28 13 4 11 47:40 43
8 Fort Wayne 27 10 8 9 42:36 38
9 Corpus Christi FC 27 9 9 9 32:37 36
10 Sarasota Paradise 27 9 6 12 37:40 33
11 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
12 FC Naples 27 9 4 14 30:43 31
13 Westchester SC 28 8 6 14 46:45 30
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 28 7 9 12 40:50 30
15 New York Cosmos 27 7 4 16 35:54 25
16 Greenville Triumph 27 6 5 16 30:51 23
17 Richmond Kickers 27 5 5 17 27:56 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)