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Fort Wayne vs Spokane Velocity

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Healy T.
16'
Smith J.
38'
Gafar K.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Fort Wayne and Spokane Velocity finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fort Wayne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fort Wayne
6%
Draws
4%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spokane Velocity come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fort Wayne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 68%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Spokane Velocity
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garay J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spokane Velocity Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 95 / 100
Spokane Velocity 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Spokane Velocity

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Wayne found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Spokane Velocity's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fort Wayne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Spokane Velocity
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310