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Fortaleza B vs Palmacia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Fares Lopes. Fortaleza B are expected to control this from the start. Palmacia have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Fortaleza B have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.25. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Fortaleza B. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Fortaleza B
35%
Draws
9%
Palmacia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Fortaleza B have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 20%
Palmacia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza B Palmacia
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 2 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza B 76 / 100
Palmacia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza B Palmacia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmacia has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza B scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Recent resilience: Fortaleza B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Palmacia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza B VS Palmacia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza B

(Home)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

Palmacia

(Away)
31 Oct
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tirol
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
08 Aug
Vila Real
2 : 1
Palmacia
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)