Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Arroyo A.
20' Event
Montano I.
Assist: Aedo A.
25'
Aedo A.

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza C.E.I.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
30%
Draws
34%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. and Chico have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza C.E.I.F. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 20%
Chico Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Chico
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Chico
2:1
Oct 14, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Chico
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:2
Feb 23, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Chico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 36 / 100
Chico 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Chico let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Chico
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
29 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
11 May
Ind. Medellin
1 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
03 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)