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Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Junior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Solis J.
19' Event
Pena J.
24'
Copete A.

AI Match Summary

Junior in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Junior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
35%
Draws
39%
Junior
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Junior lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
  • Model gives Junior a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Junior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 12%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Junior
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Junior
1:4
Mar 16, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Junior
1:1
May 16, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Primera A
Junior vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 22 / 100
Junior 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.'s goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Junior let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Junior
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Millonarios
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2
Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 6

Junior

(Away)
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Junior
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
16 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)