Sport Picks

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Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arboleda M.
Own Goal
37' Event
Ramirez D.
45' Event
Wilke T.

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. in this Copa Colombia tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
22%
Draws
18%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. have won more games recently than Leones.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza C.E.I.F. taking it.
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza C.E.I.F., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Leones
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
4:1
Jun 12, 2025 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Primera B
Leones vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
2:1
Aug 30, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilke T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 68 / 100
Leones 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Leones
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
29 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
11 May
Ind. Medellin
1 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
03 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
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Leones

(Away)
29 May
Leones
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Leones
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
18 Apr
Orsomarso
0 : 0
Leones
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)