Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. play Leones in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortaleza C.E.I.F. averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Leones averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Fortaleza C.E.I.F. won 3, Leones won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Fortaleza C.E.I.F. and 1.00 for Leones. This points to a Fortaleza C.E.I.F. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
24%
Draws
28%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. picked up more points recently compared to Leones.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 23%
Leones Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Leones
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
4:1
Jun 12, 2025 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Primera B
Leones vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
2:1
Aug 30, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Leones
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilke T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 48 / 100
Leones 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Leones

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. attacking → ← attacking Leones

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Leones let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leones lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 22
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101