Sport Picks
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Once Caldas
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
27'
27'
Navarro S.
33'
33'
Sub
Castillo J. In: Cabezas E.
Out: Castillo J.
41'
41'
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Assist: Cuesta Santos J. D.
AI Match Summary
Once Caldas in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Once Caldas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Once Caldas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Once Caldas lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Once Caldas
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Once Caldas
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Navarro S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Once Caldas Compare
Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 41 / 100
Once Caldas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Once Caldas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Once Caldas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Home) 27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
08 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 0 Cucuta
Page 1 of 3
Once Caldas
(Away) 26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3 Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2 Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0 Once Caldas
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0 Once Caldas
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Once Caldas
09 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 1 Once Caldas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:6 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Inter Bogotá | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Alianza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Junior | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
