Sport Picks

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Fortaleza U20 vs Horizonte U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Victor Silva
35' Event
Fabricio Dias
71' Event
Joao Amancio

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Fortaleza U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fortaleza U20
20%
Draws
40%
Horizonte U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza U20 taking it.
  • Fortaleza U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fortaleza U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Horizonte U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Horizonte U20
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Horizonte U20
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Cearense U20
Horizonte U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:2
Sep 3, 2024 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Horizonte U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabricio Dias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tony Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Horizonte U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Amancio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 50 / 100
Horizonte U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Horizonte U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Horizonte U20 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Fortaleza U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza U20 VS Horizonte U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 8

Horizonte U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
19 Jun
Horizonte U20
3 : 0
Juazeiro CE U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
23 May
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 2
Horizonte U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tirol U20 2
Icasa U20 0
Ferroviario U20 1
Sao Gerardo U20 0
Acopiara U20 1
Atletico Cearense U20 2
Ceara U20 7
Pacatuba U20 0
Juventus CE U20 3
Itapipoca U20 0
Floresta EC U20 4
Caucaia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 2
Iguatu U20 0
Horizonte U20 4
Santa Cruz CE U20 0
Quarter-finals
Tirol U20 1
Ferroviario U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 0
Ceara U20 3
Juventus CE U20 2
Floresta EC U20 1
Fortaleza U20 3
Horizonte U20 2
Semi-finals
Ferroviario U20 2
Ceara U20 8
Juventus CE U20 1
Fortaleza U20 7
Final
Ceara U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4