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Fortaleza U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Caio Jeronimo
50' Event
Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
88'
Thiaguinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fortaleza U20
20%
Draws
38%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Fortaleza U20.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vasco U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
May 14, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Fortaleza U20
4:2
Sep 26, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Jeronimo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 41 / 100
Vasco U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Vasco U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Fortaleza U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza U20 VS Vasco U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515