Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Cardona T.
23'
de Moraes Rodrigues O.
30' Event
Mailton
Assist: Joao Ricardo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fortaleza
35%
Draws
32%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Operario-PR at 1.46 per game, Fortaleza at 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza Operario-PR
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Operario-PR
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Fortaleza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mailton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza 68 / 100
Operario-PR 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Operario-PR has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza VS Operario-PR
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza

(Home)
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Operario-PR 29 13 8 8 41:36 47
6 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
7 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)